Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Technology Investments

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TSMC Raises 2026 Capex Target After Record Q2, Lifting Equipment Makers

TSMC raised its 2026 capital spending target on July 16, 2026, the same day it reported record second-quarter results. The move signals sustained AI accelerator demand and has coincided with sharp gains at chip equipment suppliers, including Applied Materials, up 121% year-to-date.

LM Salvado•Jul 21, 2026

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What we're seeing

Q4 2026 Clinical Catalyst Season: Big-Pharma Data Flow, Regulatory Milestones, and a Thin AI-Drug Fringe

October 2026 conferences (EASD, IGCS, NACFC, HFSA) are producing a dense run of late-stage readouts from Novo Nordisk, Lilly, Roche, Bayer, Vertex and Galderma. Regulatory milestones are scheduled behind them: the ivonescimab BLA PDUFA date on 2026-11-14, FDA acceptance of Roche's vamikibart BLA, and Scholar Rock's EMA resubmission. The AI-and-finance angle is peripheral. It consists of the AI-designed drug Rentosertib and QAIAx, a speculative microcap whose trial claims (the QIII pilot, anticipated 2027-01-01, and a patent update) are forecasts and filings rather than data, so they warrant skepticism.

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Signals we're tracking

EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade

High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.

Patterns we're watching ›

Where sources disagree

ING Group

Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.

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