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Source document· November 28, 2025

Microsoft (MSFT) Down 7.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Microsoft (MSFT) Down 7.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound? It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Microsoft (MSFT)…
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  • Microsoft expects to remain capacity-constrained through at least the end of fiscal year 2026, with demand exceeding current infrastructure build-out, resulting in lost revenue opportunities for Azure

    80% confidence
  • Total capital expenditure spend will increase sequentially, and the fiscal year 2026 growth rate is now expected to be higher than fiscal 2025, reversing prior guidance that anticipated a slowdown in spending growth

    80% confidence
  • Microsoft has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months

    80% confidence
  • Estimates revision have trended upward during the past month

    80% confidence
  • For the fiscal second quarter, Microsoft expects Azure and other cloud services revenue growth of approximately 37% in constant currency, as demand remains significantly ahead of available capacity

    80% confidence
  • Microsoft became the top publisher on both Xbox and PlayStation in the reported quarter

    80% confidence
  • More than 90% of the Fortune 500 now use Microsoft 365 Copilot

    80% confidence
  • Microsoft plans to increase total AI capacity by more than 80% this year and roughly double the total data center footprint over the next two years

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Clinical Catalyst Season: Big-Pharma Data Flow, Regulatory Milestones, and a Thin AI-Drug Fringe
October 2026 conferences (EASD, IGCS, NACFC, HFSA) are producing a dense run of late-stage readouts from Novo Nordisk, Lilly, Roche, Bayer, Vertex and Galderma. Regulatory milestones are scheduled behind them: the ivonescimab BLA PDUFA date on 2026-11-14, FDA acceptance of Roche's vamikibart BLA, and Scholar Rock's EMA resubmission. The AI-and-finance angle is peripheral. It consists of the AI-designed drug Rentosertib and QAIAx, a speculative microcap whose trial claims (the QIII pilot, anticipated 2027-01-01, and a patent update) are forecasts and filings rather than data, so they warrant skepticism.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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