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Source document· May 12, 2026

4 Leveraged ETF Winners of Last Week

View original at finance.yahoo.com
4 Leveraged ETF Winners of Last Week Wall Street offered an upbeat performance last week. State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY has added about 2.4% last week…
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  • Kalshi traders see a 47% probability that a U.S.-Iran agreement is reached by September 2026.

    60% confidence
  • In mid-April 2026, odds that the U.S. and Iran reach a nuclear deal by June were more than 70%.

    60% confidence
  • The labor market is stable rather than strong.

    60% confidence
  • Markets currently expect the Federal Reserve to leave rates unchanged through the remainder of the year as inflation remains elevated and the labor market cools only gradually.

    60% confidence
  • Kalshi traders see a 58% probability that a U.S.-Iran deal is reached by 2027.

    60% confidence
  • The United States was expecting a response on Friday from Iran on the proposal to end the war.

    60% confidence
  • Q1 earnings estimates have moved higher for 7 of the 16 Zacks sectors: Tech, Energy, Basic Materials, Utilities, Industrials, Retail, and Business Services.

    60% confidence
  • Micron Technology is one of the leading worldwide providers of semiconductor memory solutions.

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

United States Government · population4.3 percent_unemployment_rate
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Clinical Catalyst Season: Big-Pharma Data Flow, Regulatory Milestones, and a Thin AI-Drug Fringe
October 2026 conferences (EASD, IGCS, NACFC, HFSA) are producing a dense run of late-stage readouts from Novo Nordisk, Lilly, Roche, Bayer, Vertex and Galderma. Regulatory milestones are scheduled behind them: the ivonescimab BLA PDUFA date on 2026-11-14, FDA acceptance of Roche's vamikibart BLA, and Scholar Rock's EMA resubmission. The AI-and-finance angle is peripheral. It consists of the AI-designed drug Rentosertib and QAIAx, a speculative microcap whose trial claims (the QIII pilot, anticipated 2027-01-01, and a patent update) are forecasts and filings rather than data, so they warrant skepticism.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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