Paychex outlines FY 2027 outlook with 5%-6% revenue growth and ~44% adjusted operating margin
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FY2027 adjusted operating income margin is expected to be approximately 44%, effective tax rate approximately 24%, adjusted diluted EPS growth 7% to 9%, and Q1 adjusted operating margin 41% to 42%.
60% confidencePaychex exited fiscal 2026 with strong momentum, citing double-digit revenue and earnings growth in the fourth quarter and full year, with accelerating organic revenue growth each quarter.
60% confidenceWISE is Paychex's AI-powered intelligence engine powering approximately 600 AI features and agents, drawing on more than 26 trillion data points.
60% confidenceQ4 total revenue increased 12% over the prior year to $1.6 billion, with Management Solutions revenue up 14% to $1.2 billion and PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue up 9% to $370 million.
60% confidencePaychex exceeded its fiscal 2026 synergy targets from the Paycor acquisition, with over 50 basis points of revenue-growth contribution and over $100 million in cost synergies, and is winning larger deals than anticipated.
60% confidencePaychex returned $2.2 billion to shareholders through $1.6 billion in cash dividends and $600 million in share repurchases, and reduced leverage by 0.5 turn, including repayment of the initial $400 million Oasis acquisition debt tranche.
60% confidenceInterest on funds held for clients is expected to be in the range of $195 million to $205 million, declining due to prior rate cuts and lapping one-time portfolio repositioning gains, assuming no further Fed funds rate changes.
60% confidencePaychex's client base is relatively flat, with growth driven by an increase in revenue per client.
60% confidenceHealth care cost inflation is unsustainable for small and mid-sized businesses, acting as a double-edged sword that pressures affordability while supporting PEO demand.
60% confidenceQ4 interest on funds held for clients grew 15% to $52 million; operating income margin increased approximately 750 basis points to 37.7%; adjusted operating income margin increased approximately 170 basis points to 42.1%; diluted EPS increased 43% to $1.17; adjusted diluted EPS increased 11% to $1.32.
60% confidenceFiscal 2027 total revenue growth is guided in the range of 5% to 6%, Management Solutions revenue growth 5% to 6%, and PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue growth 6% to 7%.
60% confidenceMidterm organic growth is typically 7% to 8%, with M&A adding 1% to 2%, and no acquisition on the scale of the Paycor deal is expected near-term.
60% confidencePaychex is already generating AI revenue, with about 10,000 customers in a timekeeping AI soft launch that is cutting errors by roughly 70% upfront.
60% confidencePEO strength includes record worksite employee retention, while the insurance agency continues to be a drag though some positive trends are emerging.
60% confidenceFiscal 2026 total revenue increased 17% over the prior year to $6.5 billion, operating cash flow increased 35% to $2.6 billion, and free cash flow increased 36% to $2.3 billion.
60% confidencePEO remains a key growth driver, with worksite employee growth outpacing the industry at high single-digit rates in the quarter and full year.
60% confidenceClient retention for 100-plus employee accounts is the highest it has been in Gibson's 13 years at the company, and Paychex will not do irrational things to boost client counts.
60% confidenceAsked whether Paychex could size how much of the apparent Paycor deceleration is revenue shifting rather than true slowdown.
60% confidence