Open Source
View original at ainowinstitute.orgAI Now Institute - Ai Policy Title: Open Source Date: 2026-02-12 14:39 Source: https://ainowinstitute.org/publications/open-source <div class="wp-block-buttons has-custom-font-size has-medium-font-size is-content-justification-left is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-51c3bbf5 wp-block-buttons-is-layout-f…
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AI infrastructure is dominated by two poles of power: US platform companies whose dominance emerged from internet commercialization, and China which resisted US market reach and built its own platforms with state control.
80% confidenceOpenness and scrutability should be the floor, not exceptional, for technology serving as core societal infrastructure; concentrated power enabling unaccountable socially significant decisions must be questioned.
80% confidenceSignal uses a small open-source face-detection AI model on-device for its blur-faces feature, which is a clearly privacy-preserving use aligned with its mission.
80% confidenceTrustworthiness requires the ability to scrutinize what technology actually does; Signal's open-source security community acts as white blood cells finding and patching issues.
80% confidencePolitical opportunism drives leaders to embrace open-source AI rhetoric rather than honestly confronting that such openness does not deliver sovereignty or independence.
80% confidenceThe vibe-coding-crypto-influencer-turned-AI-influencer cohort has no idea about tech but is being taken seriously by senior executives because they can spin up a proof of concept via Claude code in three minutes.
80% confidenceEven with open-source AI, you still need huge amounts of data, labor, and infrastructure; the key novelty of the current AI moment is concentrated data and powerful distributed computational systems.
80% confidenceWhatsApp's approach of sending data off-site for AI processing while calling it end-to-end encrypted by counting their server as an end is 'messy and dishonest.'
80% confidenceA FOMO-driven juggernaut is dictating the need to adopt AI without clarity on where, how, or how to measure it.
80% confidenceSignal is open source in the clearly defined technical sense because it is core infrastructure for the human right to private communication and free expression, relied on in life-or-death scenarios.
80% confidenceTechnical terms in AI are now used as vibes-based evocations of abstractions rather than with the precision they originally had.
80% confidenceOpen-source AI can have genuine utility in specific pragmatic contexts: running models on-prem for confidentiality, examining open-weights models, and extending training datasets.
80% confidencePowerful executives who would rigorously scrutinize a P&L document fail to ask questions about fantastical AI claims due to fear of looking nontechnical or behind the curve.
80% confidenceOpen-source AI does not challenge the concentration of infrastructure including distribution networks, economies of scale, entrenched reach, and the ability to define tooling and standards.
80% confidenceOpen-source AI represents narrative arbitrage: the halo of democratizing AI and reducing concentration of power is assumed to apply to AI when in fact the capabilities, affordances, and virtues of open source in software do not cleanly map onto AI.
80% confidenceCountries outside major AI powers face legitimate sovereignty anxiety about their position relative to these powerful technologies, making 'openness' rhetorically appealing but materially insufficient.
80% confidence
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