Saturday, August 15, 2026
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Monetary Policy & Markets

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Interest Rate Markets Price 69% Probability of Policy Stability Through 2026

Interest Rate Markets Price 69% Probability of Policy Stability Through 2026

Interest rate traders have reversed course from December expectations of two rate cuts in 2025, with 69% now anticipating stable or higher rates through year-end 2026. The shift reflects Fed policy anchoring as institutional flows dominate markets amid a 30% collapse in retail trading activity.

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