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AI chip supply chain heats up with $60M-$80M test equipment orders as Nvidia earnings loom

Aehr Test Systems forecast $60M-$80M in bookings for AI wafer testing equipment through May 2026, signaling sustained demand across the semiconductor supply chain. The orders come as Nvidia's February 25 earnings will benchmark datacenter AI infrastructure spending, while emerging players like Ensurge position microbattery tech for edge AI devices and Credo Technology posts 64% gross margins on data center connectivity chips.

AI chip supply chain heats up with $60M-$80M test equipment orders as Nvidia earnings loom
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Aehr Test Systems projects $60M to $80M in equipment bookings through May 2026, primarily for AI wafer-level and packaged-part burn-in systems. The forecast follows $5.5M in Sonoma system orders received in Q3 alone, exceeding the entire prior quarter.

The company's lead production customer issued a large AI ASIC forecast with shipments starting May 2026. Aehr expanded partnerships with ISE Labs and ASE for wafer-level testing services targeting top-tier HPC and AI semiconductor customers. Production capacity now exceeds 20 systems monthly for both wafer and package-level testing.

Q2 revenue hit $9.9M, down 27% year-over-year, with non-GAAP gross margin compressing to 29.8% from 45.3% due to lower WaferPak volumes. The company raised $10M through its ATM program, bringing cash to $31M with $30M remaining under a $40M offering facility.

Credo Technology reported GAAP gross margins between 63.8% and 65.8% for Q3 FY2026, reflecting strong economics in data center connectivity chips essential for AI cluster networking. The high-margin profile underscores pricing power in specialized interconnect silicon.

Nvidia's February 25 earnings will serve as the critical demand signal for AI infrastructure buildouts. The report will clarify whether supply chain activity from advanced packaging through HBM3e memory and connectivity chips reflects sustained hyperscaler spending or channel inventory buildup.

Ensurge Micropower positions its solid-state microbattery technology for AI-enabled edge devices, targeting applications beyond datacenter chips. Apple's push into AI wearables signals consumer hardware expansion, potentially opening new supply chain vectors in power management and miniaturized components.

Amkor's advanced packaging capabilities and high-bandwidth memory suppliers feeding GPU modules represent critical chokepoints. Investment thesis centers on identifying margin-resilient suppliers with long-cycle design wins rather than commoditized foundry exposure.

Capital deployment opportunities emerge in testing equipment, specialty interconnects, and enabling technologies like microbatteries where barriers to entry create sustainable pricing. The divergence between Aehr's 29.8% margins and Credo's 64%+ margins highlights mix quality over volume scale.

Investors should monitor Nvidia's datacenter revenue guidance and customer commentary for capex sustainability signals. Supply chain multiples depend entirely on confirming 2026-2027 infrastructure spending rather than 2025 deployment pull-forward.